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Trade Idea : Dow Jones    

Posted by: user no longer registered     

Asset class

Index

Date of trade idea

9 April 2009

Time period

9mth

Product

Dow Jones

Size / Direction

$10 per point

Target Entry

7300

Target Exit

9000

Stop

6000

Current

7837

Comment

Long term equities will rally into end of 2009 leading the recovery

Lots of fiscal stimulus

Risk : economy deteriorates further

Risk : terrorist attack

Risk : bailouts from either country prove ineffective


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Trade Idea : GBPAUD    

Posted by: user no longer registered     

Asset class

Currency

Date of trade idea

9 April 2009

Time period

1mth

Product

GBPAUD

Size / Direction

Long 100k

Target Entry

2.06

Target Exit

2.15

Stop

2.02

Current

2.0622

Comment

Massive rally in Equities will recede

BOE at bottom of rate cycle, RBA says its done unless economy turns for worse

Range has been 2.04 – 2.60 (Unless it makes a new low)

Looking for long term reversal with UK taking more decisive action than the RBA and Oz govt

Risk is long term trend continues hence stop at 2.02


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Trade Idea : Gold    

Posted by: user no longer registered     

Asset class

Commodities

Time period

6mth

Product

Gold / XAU

Size / Direction

Long 100 oz

Target Entry

870

Target Exit

1000

Stop

750

Current

883

Comment

Weaker USD

Inflation from fiscal stimulus

Risk : earlier than expected rate rises


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Trade Idea : GBPJPY    

Posted by: user no longer registered     

Asset class

Currency

Date of trade idea

9 April 2009

Time period

6mth

Product

GBPJPY

Size / Direction

Long 100k

Target Entry

142.5

Target Exit

160

Stop

134

Current

147.7

Comment

Long term equities will rally into end of 2009 leading the recovery

BOE at bottom of rate cycle

Risk : economy deteriorates further

Medium term trend has been a turnaround of the continuous fall from 240 to 122

Risk : bailouts from either country prove ineffective


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Trade Idea : GBPUSD    

Posted by: user no longer registered     

Asset class

Currency

Date of trade idea

9 April 2009

Time period

6mth

Product

GBPUSD

Size / Direction

Long 100k

Target Entry

1.45

Target Exit

1.70

Stop

1.35

Current

1.466

Comment

BOE at bottom of rate cycle

US issuing lots of debt

GBP lost over 30% in past year


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